For better or for worse, the holidays are finally over and done. Christmas trees make their way to the curbs and we’re all back on our chicken-and-salad diets.
But it wouldn’t be the start of a new year without the latest tech predictions for what’s in store for 2012. Everyone from Gizmodo, to ZDNet, to the New York Times is making bold assertions regarding the future of tech in the year to come.
So, after reading dozens of commentaries from VentureBeat to InformationWeek, here’s my take on tech in 2012.
Here are a few of the “no brainers” we can expect this year:
1) Tablets stole the spotlight in 2011, and will likely continue to in 2012.
2) Research in Motion sells out, but not to Amazon, Microsoft, Samsung, Nokia, or HTC.
3) There will be a continued shift to Cloud Services for both enterprise and end-users.
4) Apple will continue to dominate the tablet market, albeit with a lower market share.
5) E-Commerce will continue to squeeze traditional retail, and mobile ecommerce will skyrocket.
Now, let’s explore a few less certain predictions, which could go either way:
1) Hulu Plus and Amazon Prime VOD will profit from the eventual demise of Netflix.
2) Microsoft and/or Apple will profit as users abandon the Android platform due to fragmentation. Continue Reading »